Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 1376.800729 1570.320291 1786.784040 2047.871136 2355.578629 2708.318899 3145.606005
2025-08-17 1104.713602 1363.290245 1681.250250 2105.376867 2662.921305 3380.185464 4388.048638
2025-08-24 951.405987 1236.227621 1609.157891 2141.934766 2898.011586 3955.151080 5586.477067
2025-08-31 840.326490 1136.775469 1544.642918 2160.400109 3090.937701 4486.351334 6821.245203
2025-09-07 764.106388 1069.852798 1508.848385 2204.414543 3316.127644 5092.763926 8298.378547
2025-09-14 674.450137 970.225568 1409.499621 2133.043524 3343.501200 5382.768552 9305.060824
2025-09-21 602.063881 886.775660 1322.337902 2064.896321 3359.200642 5647.260476 10317.482893
2025-09-28 539.195983 810.631624 1236.774090 1985.681476 3339.748481 5840.010813 11230.353536
2025-10-05 516.346334 794.651469 1244.743747 2064.073191 3610.446744 6617.512343 13544.550420
2025-10-12 488.086305 766.648395 1229.041725 2097.431476 3800.740647 7272.773878 15778.157561
2025-10-19 459.469496 735.063676 1203.418571 2108.375922 3947.535344 7865.152511 18040.234779
2025-10-26 433.486946 705.428472 1177.839654 2115.412936 4086.296458 8466.354778 20514.309045
2025-11-02 417.919208 693.087139 1182.948393 2184.873082 4373.399201 9480.509851 24506.683083
2025-11-09 402.442476 679.537028 1184.498461 2247.727015 4658.651201 10562.994647 29156.164154
2025-11-16 385.439439 661.554482 1175.585002 2287.221543 4897.152084 11586.600427 34075.706673
2025-11-23 367.712347 640.621721 1158.724974 2307.187159 5092.573144 12545.768997 39233.001000
2025-11-30 354.450198 626.962119 1154.749933 2354.785848 5365.095567 13793.377834 46084.315745
2025-12-07 329.756693 589.299114 1098.825240 2277.610016 5304.070954 14049.000787 49197.755248
2025-12-14 307.589605 555.007410 1046.967797 2203.955845 5240.905115 14286.234227 52381.826578
2025-12-21 286.172528 520.774584 992.549692 2118.384646 5132.637908 14359.308080 54915.343135
2025-12-28 281.438496 519.642575 1008.002474 2203.066415 5514.420362 16148.487655 66596.043406
2026-01-04 272.798523 509.882049 1003.946726 2239.115761 5764.084346 17566.903340 77491.372726
2026-01-11 262.796971 496.579018 990.945459 2250.944959 5944.546512 18796.334032 88336.364897